Sign in

    Rubrik (RBRK)

    Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

    Reported on Mar 28, 2025 (After Market Close)
    Pre-Earnings Price$53.66Last close (Dec 5, 2024)
    Post-Earnings Price$65.68Open (Dec 6, 2024)
    Price Change
    $12.02(+22.40%)
    • Rubrik is winning a vast majority of deals against both new-generation and legacy competitors, thanks to its unique Zero Trust platform that combines Data Security Posture Management (DSPM) and cyber recovery in a single solution. This has led to increased market share and strong adoption of their Enterprise Edition, with about half of new customers adopting it at the outset.
    • Strong growth in DSPM deals, with customer numbers doubling quarter-over-quarter in Q3, indicates high demand for Rubrik's integrated cyber resilience platform. The adoption of generative AI is increasing the focus on data security, providing a tailwind for Rubrik's DSPM offerings.
    • Significant improvements in profitability, with subscription ARR contribution margin improving by over 1,100 basis points year-over-year, and the company aiming for breakeven or better subscription ARR contribution margin next fiscal year. This demonstrates operational efficiency and a path towards positive free cash flow.
    • Rubrik is experiencing shorter contract terms and invoicing cycles for cloud and SaaS products, leading to modest headwinds in free cash flow, and expects further compression next year.
    • Improvements in subscription ARR contribution margin may not translate into operating income profitability in the near term due to a longer lag caused by their cloud transformation, which has suppressed revenue under a top-line accounting perspective.
    • While DSPM deals nearly doubled quarter-over-quarter, DSPM remains a relatively small part of the business and is not influencing overall sales cycles, potentially limiting its impact on near-term growth.
    1. Operating Efficiency Sustainability
      Q: How sustainable are the operating efficiency improvements?
      A: Kiran stated that the company is pleased with the progress in subscription ARR contribution margin and cash margins, and expects many drivers of efficiency to continue, including higher productivity, targeted marketing, partner leverage, and growth in renewals. However, improvements will moderate over time.

    2. TAM Expansion into Cybersecurity
      Q: Is there evidence of expanding into broader cybersecurity budgets?
      A: Bipul explained that Rubrik transformed the backup and recovery market into a cyber resilience platform, expanding its TAM. Half of new customers adopt the Enterprise Edition, and about one-third of NRR comes from data security product attach, indicating successful participation in cybersecurity budgets.

    3. Contribution Margin and Investments
      Q: How will contribution margin improvements affect future investments?
      A: Kiran stated they expect subscription ARR contribution margin to be breakeven or better next fiscal year, aiming for profitable growth. Operating margin will follow after subscription margin, but with some lag due to revenue suppression from cloud transformation.

    4. Market Share Gains
      Q: What can you share about win rates and market share gains?
      A: Bipul said they continue to win a vast majority of deals against new-gen and legacy vendors, due to their unique Zero Trust platform that combines DSPM and cyber recovery, reaping the rewards of a unique architecture built from day one.

    5. Enterprise Edition Adoption
      Q: How is the adoption rate of Enterprise Edition changing?
      A: Bipul reported continued strong adoption of Enterprise Edition, with about half of new customers adopting it initially. Nearly one-third of NRR comes from data security products, including Enterprise Edition and DSPM offerings.

    6. Annapurna Vision and Monetization
      Q: What's the vision and monetization plan for Annapurna?
      A: Bipul described Annapurna as a multiyear strategy to enable secure gen AI applications using Rubrik's data platform. While starting with AWS Bedrock, it's designed to work across platforms. Monetization plans are still being figured out through market experimentation over the next several years.

    7. Demand Drivers and Gen AI
      Q: Is demand for DSPM and cyber recovery driven by gen AI rollouts?
      A: Bipul acknowledged that gen AI is a driver, forcing focus on data integrity and risk. However, other factors like digital transformation, cloud adoption, and SaaS applications are also contributing to the secular tailwind in the market.

    8. DSPM Impact on Pipeline
      Q: How is DSPM adoption impacting pipeline and deal cycles?
      A: Bipul noted strong traction with DSPM, with the number of customers doubling quarter-over-quarter in Q3. Kiran added that DSPM is still a smaller part of the business and not influencing overall sales cycles, which have remained stable.

    9. Cloud Backup vs. Native Solutions
      Q: Why do customers choose Rubrik over native cloud backups?
      A: Bipul explained that customers seek a single policy engine and security control across all data estates, including multiple clouds and SaaS applications. Rubrik's comprehensive solution offers cyber recovery across all environments, which native cloud backups lack.

    10. Go-to-Market Partnerships
      Q: Is there increasing engagement with VARs and GSIs?
      A: Bipul confirmed greater engagement, as customers demand cyber resilience solutions. VARs and GSIs are partnering more with Rubrik to provide strategic risk mitigation, expanding their scope from infrastructure to cybersecurity.

    11. Free Cash Flow Headwinds
      Q: What are the headwinds to free cash flow?
      A: Kiran clarified that modest headwinds are due to shorter contract and invoicing cycles for cloud and SaaS products, not consumption-based pricing. This results from customers aligning data security purchases with their SaaS procurement practices.

    Research analysts covering Rubrik.